Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.157680 0.174309 0.191288 0.209878 0.229622 0.249926 0.272345
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.137725 0.160996 0.185591 0.213387 0.243796 0.275926 0.312315
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.121070 0.148856 0.179135 0.214299 0.253732 0.296326 0.345547
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.108303 0.139543 0.174552 0.216201 0.263919 0.316430 0.378133
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.096292 0.129890 0.168571 0.215644 0.270647 0.332200 0.405605
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.088814 0.124829 0.167293 0.219989 0.282595 0.353639 0.439393
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.080654 0.118201 0.163543 0.220899 0.290141 0.369762 0.466963
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073213 0.111836 0.159579 0.221091 0.296477 0.384228 0.492473
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.065997 0.105171 0.154747 0.219786 0.300666 0.395921 0.514576
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060833 0.100799 0.152470 0.221359 0.308129 0.411361 0.541039
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057999 0.099348 0.153777 0.227316 0.320914 0.433185 0.575165
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053420 0.095113 0.151144 0.227997 0.326960 0.446743 0.599343
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.050394 0.093011 0.151381 0.232539 0.338135 0.466968 0.632159
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046608 0.089511 0.149506 0.234148 0.345493 0.482481 0.659310
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042518 0.085238 0.146311 0.233798 0.350198 0.494632 0.682346
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039273 0.082010 0.144385 0.234998 0.356804 0.509111 0.708260
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035643 0.077876 0.140925 0.233909 0.360274 0.519560 0.729156
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033810 0.076521 0.141401 0.238181 0.370781 0.538926 0.761211
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.031194 0.073641 0.139459 0.238947 0.376541 0.552213 0.785679
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028620 0.070616 0.137131 0.239030 0.381292 0.564158 0.808457
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025899 0.067089 0.133844 0.237584 0.383857 0.573212 0.827555
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024078 0.065041 0.132734 0.239194 0.390531 0.587577 0.853418
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023368 0.065020 0.134795 0.245434 0.403591 0.610328 0.890074